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A New Star In Texas Scores Big Upset

8/1/2012

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  • Cruz defeats Dewhurst to win GOP nomination for Senate in Texas
  • Rep. Canseco is top target in fall, race now set following runoff
  • Turnover in Texas Legislature and Gov. Perry’s next move
  • All incumbents survive in Georgia Primary
  • Behind the Numbers with Michael: 2,296 is medal worthy
Texas Lieutenant Governor David Dewhurst (R) was the leading candidate to replace retiring Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchinson (R) from day one until the closing days of the Runoff Election. By not closing the door in the Primary Election, Dewhurst opened the door for a competitive contest. With a campaign built on social media, grassroots activism and significant Tea Party support, former Texas Solicitor General Ted Cruz (R) won the Senate Runoff election with nearly 57% to win the GOP nomination.

Cruz has an eye-popping resume – a father who is Cuban born, graduated from Princeton and Harvard Law School, national debate champion, and law clerk for Supreme Court Chief Justice William Rehnquist. He will be heavily favored to defeat Democrat nominee Paul Sadler in the General Election and would become the first Hispanic U.S. Senator from Texas.

Texas U.S. Senate Runoff Election Results:
A New Star in Texas Scores Big Upset
_The most likely district to be competitive in the General Election is now set as well. In Texas 23, Rep. Canseco (R) will face state Rep. Pete Gallego (D). Gallego was the choice of most national Democrats who felt Gallego would be a stronger candidate than former Rep. Ciro Rodriguez (D). While Rodriguez started out with stronger name recognition, Gallego turner his strong support into a significant fundraising advantage that forced the Runoff Election and gave him enough time to ultimately defeat Rodriguez by a 54.9% to 45.1% margin. This will be a closely watched race that is winnable for either Canseco or Gallego.

At the state legislative level, over one-third of the next Texas Legislature will be in their first or second term with the state senate led by Dewhurst and Governor Rick Perry (R) who is already rumored to be laying the groundwork for another presidential bid.

Georgia
Rep. John Barrow (D-GA12) is one of the most vulnerable incumbents facing re-election. In a four-way GOP primary, state representative Lee Anderson (R) led businessman Rick Allen (R) with 34.2% to 25.7%. Both will advance to a Runoff Election to decide who faces Barrow.

Georgia gained one seat in reapportionment and will now send 14 members to the U.S. House. District 9 becomes the “new” district and is a heavily Republican district but the likely winner will have to wait until a Runoff Election is held. In a tight primary, state representative Doug Collins received 41.8% of the vote where businesswoman Martha Zoller received 41.1% (a 729 vote difference out of nearly 110,000 ballots cast).

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