Catholic voters, a vital swing voter block, have correctly picked the winner of the presidential popular vote in 9 of the last 10 elections and in 2008 accounted for a quarter of the electorate. A new Pew poll has President Obama opening a significant lead among Catholic voters. The survey was conducted from September 12 to 16 and has Obama with 54% and Romney with 39%.
Obama has managed to gain a significant lead despite criticism for his health care policies and Mitt Romney’s selection of a Catholic vice presidential candidate. Much of this could be attributed to Hispanic Catholics, a growing national demographic, but Obama’s numbers among white Catholics says that isn’t the case… and Vice President Joe Biden is also a Catholic.
Obama won the Catholic vote 54% to 45% against John McCain in ’08 but lost among white Catholics by 5 points. In Pew’s latest survey however, the President has a one point advantage on Romney among white Catholics, showing that Hispanic voters can’t be the only reason why this demographic is breaking for the President.
Four polls have been conducted among Catholic voters in recent months and three of them show majority support for the President. This could be one of many indicators that this election is shifting in the President’s favor.